Event date: Oct 15, 2026. This is an independent summary of a platform announcement; the original source is linked below.
Kalshi announced My Ballot on October 15, adding Ballotpedia data to its Midterms Hub. The feature is designed to identify races on a user's ballot and display Kalshi forecasts where the platform has an active market.
This is an independent summary of a company announcement. Prediction Talks has not audited the address-matching system or independently measured its usage.
What the announcement describes
According to Kalshi, the feature uses an address to identify relevant contests, including federal and state races and ballot measures. The company says My Ballot complements Race Intel, which includes polling, fundraising information, and previous election results.
The important product distinction is between the ballot data and the forecast. Ballotpedia supplies election information; the market price is produced through trading in a particular event contract. Pairing them in one interface does not make them the same type of information.
Why that distinction matters
A ballot tells a voter which contests apply to them. A market-implied probability describes how an outcome is priced in a contract at an observation time. Neither should be mistaken for an official result.
When a reader moves from a race page to a market, the exact question and settlement rules still matter. A contract may specify a determination source and conditions that are more precise than its headline. Our resolution guide explains why that detail cannot be skipped.
What to check as a reader
Confirm the race, district, and event definition before interpreting a percentage. Record when the price was observed, and distinguish current trading from polling or historical election data. If you compare signals, compare the same contest and time horizon.
The source announcement is useful evidence of what Kalshi says it launched. It is not independent evidence that a particular contract forecasts an election accurately. Read it alongside the contract itself and our explanation of probability versus certainty.